Hi DPC
I do not have the time, energy or inclination to go into a dissertation on evidence, validity of evidence and above all the need to read a complete paper. You have directed me to a table from a paper by Professor Andrew Noymer from the University of California at Irvine. As he points out in his more complete paper in 2009 (Noymer, Andrew,Testing the influenza–tuberculosis selective mortality hypothesis with Union Army data", Soc Sci Med. 68(9): 1599–1608.), he is interested the the interplay between tuberculosis and influenza. He comments on the the Spanish Flue epidemic that swept the Western World in 1918. His hypothesis is that those with pre-existing tuberculosis were more susceptible to the influenza infection and so that there was a decline in tuberculosis infection in the subsequent years. His data for life expectancy shows a similar increase over a century as there is for Australia - 46.3 - 78.6 years for males and 48.3 - 79.5 years for females.
Professor Otto Warburg lived from 1883 to 1970 and was indeed a Nobel prize winning biochemist, receiving the Nobel prize for medicine in 1931 for his work on cellular respiration. I would hope that our understanding of the causes of cancer has advanced somewhat since the pioneering work of Otto Warburg!
My point is simply that as cancer is understood to be associated with aging and as we live longer, then there will be an increase in the incidence of cancer. We do not have to postulate other causes such as refined carbohydrates in diet, modern lifestyle events etc. Remember, one of the fundamental principles of science is Occam's Razor - loosely translated as the simplest explanation consistent with the facts is the one to be chosen. More correctly translated as "entities must not be multiplied beyond necessity" (entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem).
I have no intention of continuing this exchange of ideas . It is getting nowehere and I do not have time energy or inclination to do so.
Regards
Sailor
If one does not know to which port one is sailing, no wind is favorable. Lucius Annaeus Seneca
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